CONSENSUS — sports picks with an open, verifiable record

Picks across dozens of leagues, settled in public.

CONSENSUS covers football, ice hockey, baseball and more — top divisions and the leagues most services skip. Most matches get no pick. The ones that do are logged before kickoff with the odds we took, and stay on the record whether they win or lose.

91settled picks on the public record
+19.88 uresult, stake as published
47competitions covered
5sports

Updated 6 Nov 2026

The record, bad weeks included

Every pick is fixed before the event starts — the market, the stake, the odds and the time — and once settled it stays as it was.

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Result, 1 u per pick
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Hit rate
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Worst drawdown
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Longest losing sequence
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Historical ROI*
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Settled picks

The same record at a different unit size

Pick by pick

Full readout

* In units under one fixed method. Past results do not guarantee future results. CONSENSUS does not promise an outcome: sport carries uncertainty that no method removes.

What you get

A few picks a week, and a record that lets you hold us to them.

The pick before kickoffMatch, market, the odds we took and the time we logged it. If the price has since moved past our number, the pick says so.
Permission to skipMost matches get no pick, and on some days there is nothing at all. Staying out is part of what you get.
A stake, not just a sideEvery pick comes with a stake in units — full, half or small — set by how far the odds are from our own number.
How bad it getsWorst drawdown and the longest losing run sit next to the return, so you can size your own exposure before you start rather than after.

Three stakes and a pass

How we arrive at a pick is our own work, and we keep it in-house. What you see is the outcome: a stake, or nothing.

1 u

The odds are clearly better than our number.

0.5 u

The price is close to fair. The pick stands, the stake is smaller.

0.2 u

The pick stands, but the odds are short. A small position.

Pass

Nothing convincing, or no price worth taking. The most common outcome.

Latest picks

Date, match, the pick, the odds taken and how it ended. Losses are kept exactly like wins.

DateMatchScorePickCompetitionOddsResult

Open the full log

After the final whistle

Every settled pick goes back into our own calibration. Each loss is put into one of four groups, and periods are reviewed the same way whether they ended up or down.

Wrong read
Our view of the match was wrong.
Price
The direction held, but the odds left no margin.
Variance
A reasonable pick; the less likely outcome happened.
Changed conditions
Line-ups, injuries or the market moved after the pick was logged.

Look at today's card first

A demo account shows today's picks and the full settled record. No email, no card.

Open the demo

Free during public validation. When a paid plan starts, its price will be on this page first.

Where should the next signal go?

A pick is only useful if its timestamp and market price are known before kickoff. Leave an address and the next ones arrive while the price is still there, along with the periodic result reports.

Done. The next picks and reports will go there.

Guides

How we think about odds, records and risk — the same standards we hold our own picks to.

All guides · Glossary

Questions

Which sports and leagues does CONSENSUS cover?

Football, ice hockey, baseball and other sports, across dozens of competitions: top divisions, second tiers, cups and leagues outside Europe. The list keeps changing as new competitions come in. A competition joins the public record after a calibration period, and from then on its picks follow the same rules as every other.

How is performance calculated?

Every published pick is fixed before the event starts with the odds taken and its stake in units, and it is settled after the match. Nothing is removed. The record states its period and sample size next to the result.

Can a losing period occur?

Yes. The record includes losing picks, losing runs and drawdowns, and they are shown next to the return. No analytical process removes uncertainty from sport.

What unit methodology is used in the track record?

Each pick carries a stake in units — 1, 0.5 or 0.2 — and the record is kept in those units. A unit is a unit of measurement, not a sum of money; the block above shows the same history at 0.5 U, 1 U and 2 U. CONSENSUS does not recommend what a unit should represent.

When do picks arrive relative to kickoff?

Every pick is fixed and time-stamped before kickoff — that is what makes the record checkable. Delivery timing is still being settled during public validation, so we don't promise a number yet.

Why are there so few picks?

Most matches don't meet our bar, and then nothing is published. On some days there are no picks at all.

How do you choose picks?

With our own engine. It draws on many different data channels, our own statistical models and AI, and it is calibrated on our own settled results. How it fits together stays in-house — what we publish is every result.

Does CONSENSUS guarantee a result?

No. CONSENSUS provides information and analysis about sporting events. Every forecast carries uncertainty, and past results do not guarantee future ones. The decision to use the information is yours.

Does CONSENSUS accept bets?

No. CONSENSUS is not a bookmaker, does not accept funds for wagers and is not a party to any agreement on winnings.